Special Session Still Possible

Yesterday, Governor Gregoire met with Democrat and Republican leaders from the House and Senate, but did not reach an agreement regarding a special session to deal with the looming $1.2 billion budget deficit in the current fiscal year.

Governor Gregoire would like action this month to balance the 2009-11 budget, but is hesistant to call in legislators without an agreement.  Legislative leadership still needs time to talk with their caucuses about proposals for reductions.

More meetings are planned with the Governor.

Special Session Under Discussion

A potential special session in December is one of many topics under consideration by Governor Gregoire and legislative leadership.

Gregoire is scheduled to meet with Demoratic and Republican leaders on Wednesday to discuss options for cutting the budget. She had asked leadership for ideas for cutting the budget by Monday but several asked for additional time.

A special session in December would address the state’s need to cut more than $1 billion out of this year’s budget and about $5.7 billion from the next two-year budget.  The more time that passes without a resolution to the budget the greater the impact.

Last week Governor Gregoire identified options to reduce the state’s budget. Many of the items she proposed would require legislative action by December 12.

The Governor wants an agreement on an agenda before calling a special session to avoid lengthy delibrations.

Legislative leadership has expressed concerns regarding the elimination of programs and services without first trying to reduce the costs of these programs and services. In addition, there is some preference for a full supplemental budget versus quick program cuts.

Governor Releases Series of Proposals to Balance the Current Biennial Budget

Today Governor Gregoire released to legislative leadership a series of proposals to solve the current fiscal year’s deficit of $1.14 billion. 

The proposals include across-the-boards cuts already imposed but does not include the recent decision to reopen collective bargaining agreements.

The proposals listed include the estimated savings, effective date of the change needed to secure the savings, notice requirements to meet the effective date and whether legislative action is needed

Among the proposals are the across-the-board cuts taken by institutions of higher education, including Evergreen’s reduction of $800,000. The reduction does not reflect the full 6.3% initially required but is closer to 4.5% to reflect the federal maintenance effort requirement.

In addition, the proposal includes other higher education related measures including:

  • Delaying State Need Grant funding to FY2012 
  • Requirement to make whole shortfalls in the Opportunity Pathways Account and Education Legacy Account

Many of the proposals would require legislative action by Dec. 12, but it’s not clear yet if the governor will call a special session. The Governor wants to make sure legislative leaders agree on a solution before deciding whether to call lawmakers back.

She has given lawmakers until Monday to submit their own budget ideas.

Washington Legislature’s Make-Up Almost Determined

The make-up of the 2011-13 Washington State Legislature is all but determined. As of Friday it appeared that all legislative races were resolved except for two.

In the Washington House the race fo the 25th District (Pierce County) remains undetermined. Totals released on Friday showed incumbent Democrat  Dawn Morrell trailing Republican challenger Hans Zieger by 18 votes.

The race for the 25th District clearly meets the criteria for an automatic recount, which require the gap between candidates is fewer than 2,000 votes and less than one half of one percentage point.

The final outcome in the Washington State Senate will be determined when the results of the race for the 41st Districk (King County) are known. Currently, Republican Steve Litzow holds a 309 vote lead over Democrat incumbent Randy Gordon.

The gap between the two candidates has decreased since election night. King County still has an estimated 50,000 ballots to be counted, but it is unknown how many are in the 41st District.

Finally, one race that was considered a toss-up last week was determined. Rep. Kelli Linville conceded the race for the 42nd District to Republican challenger Vincent Buys. As of Friday, only 177 votes had separated the two candidates.

If trends continue as they have over the last couple of weeks, it appears that the Senate Democrats will retain the majority in the Senate, 27-22 and the House Democrats will retain their majority with 57 or 56 seats.

Good News for State Budget

The November Caseload Forecast shows a slight increase in Washington’s budget. 

Washington’s Economic and Revenue Forecast Council indicates collections over the past month have increased by $18.3 million. While not a game changer, this was unexpected good news.

The savings identified in the report came in the form of caseloads for nursing homes and home care, which are attributed to savings from lower-than-predicted numbers of people getting care.

The additional revenue reduces the $55 million increase in the state budget deficit because of the passage of I-1107 which repealed taxes on pop, bottled water, and candy. The revenue reduces the state’s shortfall to approximately $40 million which is likely to be addressed in a supplemental budget instead of another across-the-board cut.

Despite the good news, the overall forecast was mixed. Washington faces approximately $15 million in higher-than-budgeted costs for the state’s Disability Lifeline program. In addition, though the number of children enrolled in public schools decreased slightly the potential savings from this were erased by increases in special-education and bilingual education enrollments. Finally, enrollments are climbing much higher than anticipated in Temporary Aid to Needy Families (TANF).

In response state agencies are looking at actions to remedy these increases in the long-term.

Washington State Agency Responses to Recent Across-The-Board Cuts

This week the Washington Office of Financial Management released a website that provides information regarding the impact of the recent mandated 6.3% reduction for all state agencies.

The website offers inforamtion regarding what agencies are impacted and how across-the-board reductions are defined. In addition, the website provides a list of state agencies and details of each agency’s response plan. Some agencies have yet to submit their plans.

These plans will remain in effect until the Legislature approves a new supplemental budget during the 2011 legislative session.

Governor Issues Across-the-Board Cuts

Yesterday, Governor Gregoire issued an executive order directing across-the-board cuts to state programs and agencies.

The level of the reductions, as stated in the executive order, are to be based on the September Economic and Revenue forecast.  As a result, the level of reductions to state agencies will not be revealed unitl after the release of the September Economic and Revenue forecast on Thursday.  The reductions will go into effect on October 1, 2010.

Over the last month, Governor Gregoire informed state agencies to prepare for across-the-board cuts that could range from 4 to 7 percent. However, given the continual decline in state revenues since June,  the Governor warned that the cuts could be even higher.

In addition, the Governor has stated that quick action by the 2011 Washington Legislature will be needed to pass a supplemental budget that reduces state support for public services by $500 million from the last six months of the current fiscal year. 

It is also expected that the 2011-13 budget will need to be reduced by 10 percent to bridge an estimated state shortfall of $3 billion.

Governor Announces Next Steps in the Budget Process

During a press conference this afternoon, Governor Gregoire announced the steps she will take to address a potential shortfall in the current state budget and direct agencies to prepare for an additional shortfall in 2011-13.

Despite the receipt of federal funds for Medicaid and teachers, agency and department savings, and reductions in state spending, dollars for the state budget remain difficult.

Over the last two months revenue collections have declined by $125 million below forecasted levels. Though the state has a $72 million ending fund balance for the 2009-11 biennium, after taking into consideration revenue declines, the potential for additional budget shortfalls that would eliminate the remaining dollars in the ending fund balance remain possible if future revenue reports continue to show a decline.

Beyond the current biennium, the state is also estimated to face a $3 billion deficit over the next two year budget (2011-13).

Given this context, the Governor announced three actions she will direct state agencies to undertake to prepare for the upcoming two-year budget and potential revenue shortfalls in the short-term.

  • Prepare reductions of 4-7% for the possibility of across-the-board cuts starting October 1 if the September forecast or revenue receipts are lower than expected.
  • Prepare budget reductins for a supplemental budget for the last six months of the current biennium equal to $500 million statewide to be passed in January.
  • Draft 2011-13 budgets to prepare for the expected $3 billion shortfall which will require a 10% reduction in the expected general fund budget.

What is the Status with Washington’s Anticipated Federal Dollars for 2010-2011?

Congress continues to debate over the inclusion or exclusion of federal Medicaid dollars to states.

Twenty-eight states, including Washington, crafted budgets for FY10 assuming Congress would approve additonal Medicaid dollars.

Governors, including Washington’s Governor Gregoire,  from across the country lobbied Congress hard this week with an eye to the July 1 state budget deadline. The Medicaid extension is set to expire at the end of 2010, halfway through the fiscal year that begins in most states on July 1. 

The extension was first included in the 2009 economic stimulus bill. Since then the extension has faced a rocky road. Both chambers of Congress have passed different variations of the request and President Obama has called the aid necessary to avoid massive layoffs.

Despite this support, the extension and the dollars it would bring to states cotninues to be attached to congressional bills that die for one reason or another.

As Congress continues to move forward without securing the extension and funding, states are moving forward and beginning to consider their next steps. At question is how quickly cuts would have to be made if Mediciad dollars are not included in legislation passed by Congress.

For Washington the lack of additional federal Medicaid dollars would result in a reduction of $480 million to the state budget. If the dollars do not come through Washington’s budget reserves could be eliminated and the state would face an additional $200 million in budget cuts.

The Governor could make these cuts across-the-board or call the Legislature in for a special session.

Stay tune!

Concerns Rise Regarding State Budget

Doubt is emerging about anticipated federal funds for Washington.

Washington State’s budget was balanced based on four strategies: (1) Reductions to public services and programs, (2) Transfer of funds to the General Fund, (3) Increases in revenues, and (4) Incorporation of approximately $618 million of approved/anticipated additional federal relief to Washington State.

The 2010 supplemental operating budget anticipated $480 million in additional resources based on the Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) enhancement being extended by an additional six months through June  2011.

In addition, based on  U.S. Department of Health and Human Services reversal of the decision to disallow state savings from Medicare Part D “clawback” payments for prescription drugs, the state expected to receive $87 million in additional federal resources beyond the current level assumed in the state budget.

At the time the state budget was signed into law, Congress was considering legislation that would extend the enhancements beyond the current end date, December 2010. Legislation that both the House and Senate had considered before and passed.

However, today states, including Washington, are running into roadblocks with regard to the anticipated funds in Congress.

Last week the U.S. House of Representatives stripped language for a six-month, $23 billion extension. Washington is seeking approximately $480 million of these funds as part of the four-strategy approach to balancing the state’s most recent shortfall (2010).

Without these funds ($480 million) the dollars in reserves ($450 million) planned as a cushion would be eliminated, leaving the state vulnerable to changes in tax revenues.

Governor Gregoire along with 47 other governors, both Democrat and Republican, have asked for the extension. More than 30 states counted on these dollars in their budgets.

The legislation now moves to the Senate where the bill could be taken as soon as after the Memorial Day week long recess.

Stay tuned…